Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KAI-TAK-17
in Malaysia, Viet Nam, Brunei Darussalam, Indonesia, Philippines
20 Dec 2017 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone KAI-TAK-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Malaysia, Viet Nam, Brunei Darussalam, Indonesia, Philippines
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
    Maximum storm surge n.a.
    Vulnerability High (Malaysia)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 65 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
    Overall 93 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      65 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 15.6 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 13 Dec 2017 18:00 65 19.8 million No people Philippines
        Green 2 14 Dec 2017 00:00 74 11.5 million No people Philippines
        Green 3 14 Dec 2017 06:00 74 13 million No people Philippines
        Green 4 14 Dec 2017 12:00 74 41.8 million No people Philippines
        Green 5 14 Dec 2017 18:00 83 81.7 million No people Philippines, Malaysia
        Green 6 15 Dec 2017 00:00 83 87.8 million No people Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam
        Orange 7 15 Dec 2017 06:00 65 109.7 million No people Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam, Viet Nam
        Green 8 15 Dec 2017 12:00 93 77.6 million No people Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam, Viet Nam
        Green 9 15 Dec 2017 18:00 93 110.5 million No people Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam, Viet Nam
        Orange 10 16 Dec 2017 00:00 83 66.9 million No people Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam, Viet Nam, Cambodia
        Orange 11 16 Dec 2017 06:00 83 99.5 million No people Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam, Viet Nam, Cambodia
        Orange 12 16 Dec 2017 12:00 83 97.6 million No people Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam, Viet Nam, Cambodia
        Orange 13 16 Dec 2017 18:00 74 62.2 million No people Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam, Viet Nam, Cambodia
        Green 14 17 Dec 2017 00:00 56 9.6 million No people Philippines
        Green 15 17 Dec 2017 06:00 56 9.6 million No people Philippines
        Green 16 17 Dec 2017 12:00 56 9.6 million No people Philippines
        Green 17 17 Dec 2017 18:00 46 9.6 million No people Philippines
        Green 18 18 Dec 2017 00:00 46 9.6 million No people Philippines
        Green 19 18 Dec 2017 06:00 46 9.6 million No people Philippines
        Green 20 18 Dec 2017 18:00 74 10.4 million No people Philippines, Malaysia
        Green 21 19 Dec 2017 00:00 74 10.4 million No people Philippines, Malaysia
        Green 22 19 Dec 2017 06:00 74 13.2 million No people Philippines, Malaysia, Brunei Darussalam, Indonesia
        Green 23 19 Dec 2017 12:00 83 14 million No people Philippines, Malaysia, Brunei Darussalam, Indonesia
        Green 24 19 Dec 2017 18:00 83 15 million No people Malaysia, Philippines, Brunei Darussalam, Indonesia, Viet Nam
        Green 25 20 Dec 2017 00:00 65 23.2 million No people Malaysia, Brunei Darussalam, Viet Nam, Philippines, Indonesia
        Green 26 20 Dec 2017 06:00 65 15.6 million No people Malaysia, Brunei Darussalam, Indonesia, Philippines, Viet Nam

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 13 Dec 2017 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 11.3, 127.3
          GREEN
          		 2 14 Dec 2017 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 1.9 million people 11.2, 127.3 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 3 14 Dec 2017 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 2.9 million people 11.1, 126.9 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 4 14 Dec 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 5.6 million people 11.5, 127.7 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 5 14 Dec 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 7.6 million people 11.5, 127.5 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 6 15 Dec 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 6.2 million people 11.7, 127.7 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 7 15 Dec 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 7.1 million people 11.7, 127.6 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 8 15 Dec 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 7.5 million people 11.6, 127.8 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 9 15 Dec 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 30.1 million people 12.1, 127.1 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 10 16 Dec 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 8.8 million people 12.5, 126.3 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 11 16 Dec 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 27.5 million people 12.4, 125.8 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 12 16 Dec 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 29.8 million people 12.1, 125.4 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 13 16 Dec 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 10.7 million people 12, 124.9 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 14 17 Dec 2017 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12.2, 124.2 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 15 17 Dec 2017 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 12.2, 122.7 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 16 17 Dec 2017 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 11.5, 121.7 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 17 17 Dec 2017 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 10.9, 120.4 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 18 18 Dec 2017 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 10.6, 119.6 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 19 18 Dec 2017 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 10.4, 118.9 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 20 18 Dec 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 830000 people 10.3, 116.7 Malaysia
          GREEN
          		 21 19 Dec 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 530000 people 9.7, 115.9 Malaysia
          GREEN
          		 22 19 Dec 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 3.1 million people 8.5, 115.3 Malaysia
          GREEN
          		 23 19 Dec 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 2.7 million people 8.4, 114.8 Malaysia
          GREEN
          		 24 19 Dec 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 5.3 million people 8.3, 113.4 Viet Nam
          GREEN
          		 25 20 Dec 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 3.8 million people 8.3, 112.4 Viet Nam
          GREEN
          		 26 20 Dec 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 2.8 million people 7.3, 112.2 Malaysia
          GREEN
          		 26 20 Dec 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 930000 people 6.7, 110.7 Malaysia
          GREEN
          		 26 21 Dec 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 93000 people 6.4, 108.7 Indonesia
          GREEN
          		 26 21 Dec 2017 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 6, 106.8
          GREEN
          		 26 22 Dec 2017 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 5.6, 105.1
          GREEN
          		 26 23 Dec 2017 06:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 4.9, 101.9 Thailand
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Malaysia
          Brunei
          Indonesia
          Philippines
          Vietnam

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Sarawak Malaysia
          Brunei Brunei Darussalam
          Sabah Malaysia
          Kalimantan Timur Indonesia
          Southern Tagalog Philippines
          Riau Indonesia
          Ninh Thuan Viet Nam
          Binh Thuan Viet Nam
          Khanh Hoa Viet Nam
          Lam Dong Viet Nam
          Central Visayas Philippines
          Northern Mindanao Philippines
          Bicol Philippines
          Southern Mindanao Philippines
          Eastern Visayas Philippines

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Pekan Seria Brunei Darussalam City -
          Miri Sarawak Malaysia City 230000 people
          Bandar Seri Begawan Brunei Darussalam Capital 63000 people
          Victoria Wilayah Persekutuan Labuan Malaysia City -
          Kota Kinabalu Sabah Malaysia City 450000 people
          Bintulu Sarawak Malaysia City 150000 people
          Mukah Sarawak Malaysia City -
          Phan Rang Ninh Thuan Vietnam City 91000 people
          Hòa Da Binh Thuan Vietnam City -
          Cam Ranh Ninh Thuan Vietnam City 150000 people
          Sandakan Sabah Malaysia City 390000 people
          Puerto Princesa Philippines City 160000 people
          Bogo Central Visayas Philippines City 23000 people
          Bulan Bicol Philippines City 28000 people
          Ormoc Eastern Visayas Philippines City 91000 people
          Carigara Leyte Philippines City 17000 people
          Barugo Leyte Philippines City 6500 people
          Burauen Eastern Visayas Philippines City 14000 people
          Calbayog Eastern Visayas Philippines City 68000 people
          Babatñgon Leyte Philippines City -
          Dulag Eastern Visayas Philippines City 10000 people
          Palo Eastern Visayas Philippines City 18000 people
          Tanauan Eastern Visayas Philippines City 16000 people
          Tacloban Tacloban City Philippines City 190000 people
          Guiuan Eastern Visayas Philippines City 11000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Anduki / Seria 2 Civ. Unpaved No 4600
          Miri MYY 17 Civ. Paved Yes 6900
          Brunei International BWN 22 Civ. Paved Yes 12000
          Labuan LBU 31 Mil. Paved Yes 7500
          Marudi MUR 31 Civ. Paved No 2900
          Limbang LMN unknown 0
          Sipitang SPT unknown 0
          Lawas LWY unknown 0
          Kota Kinabalu BKI 3 Civ. Paved Yes 9800
          Long Lama LLM unknown 0
          Mulu MZV 24 0
          Bintulu BTU 2 Civ. Paved Yes 4500
          Pagasa 2 0
          Long Sukang LSU unknown 0
          Kota Belud 14 0
          Long Seridan ODN unknown 0
          Mukah MKM unknown Civ. Paved No 3500
          Keningau KGU unknown 0
          Long Semado Lawas LSM unknown 0
          Kudat KUD unknown 0
          Ranau RNU unknown 0
          Bakalalan BKM unknown 0
          Bario BBN unknown 0
          Long Lellang LGL unknown 0
          Longbawan LBW unknown 0
          Sepulot SPE unknown 0
          Ranai 2 Civ. Paved No 8400
          Long Bonga LBP unknown 0
          Telupid TEL unknown 0
          Long Pasia GSA unknown 0
          Pamol PAY unknown 0
          37 0
          Song Mao 26 0
          Cam Ranh 6 0
          Cam Ranh Bay 14 0
          Conson 6 Civ. Unpaved No 3600
          Sandakan SDK 14 Civ. Paved Yes 6900
          Cagayan de Sulu CDY 30 0
          Puerto Princesa International PPS 6 Civ. Paved Yes 8500
          Tarempa 3 0
          Matak MWK unknown 0
          Masbate MBT 15 Civ. Paved No 3900
          Philphos 5 0
          Legaspi LGP 20 Civ. Paved No 6800
          Ormoc OMC 25 Civ. Paved No 3900
          Maasin 100 0
          Biliran Natl 89 0
          Sorsogon 37 Civ. Unpaved No 3200
          Calbayog CYP 3 Civ. Paved No 4800
          Catbalogan 15 0
          Daniel Z Romualdez TAC 2 Civ. Paved Yes 7000
          Catarman CRM 2 Civ. Paved No 4400
          Virac VRC 37 Civ. Paved No 5100
          Surigao SUG 6 Civ. Paved No 5000
          Nonoc 4 0
          Borongan 2 0
          Siargao 3 0
          Guiuan 2 Civ. Paved No 7000
          Dolores 2 0
          Tandag TDG 5 Civ. Paved No 4400

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Seria Oil Loading Terminal Brunei Darussalam
          Kuala Belait BNKUB Brunei Darussalam
          Lutong Malaysia
          Seria BNSER Brunei Darussalam
          Miri MYMYY Malaysia
          Lumut BNLUM Brunei Darussalam
          Labuan Terminal Malaysia
          Labuan Hadji, Sabah MYLBH Malaysia
          Sibuti Malaysia
          Bandar Seri Begawan BNBWN Brunei Darussalam
          Labuan MYLBU Malaysia
          Muara Port BNMUA Brunei Darussalam
          Limbang MYLMN Malaysia
          Niah Malaysia
          Tanjung Salirong BNTAS Brunei Darussalam
          Suai Malaysia
          Weston MYWES Malaysia
          Sipitang MYSPT Malaysia
          Bintulu Terminal MYBTU Malaysia
          Kota Kinabalu MYBKI Malaysia
          Sapangar Bay Malaysia
          Bintulu MYBTU Malaysia
          Usukan Bay Malaysia
          Bintulu Port Malaysia
          Oya Malaysia
          Kudat MYKUD Malaysia
          Balabac Philippines
          Sibu Malaysia
          Bunguran Island Indonesia
          Vung Phan Rang Vietnam
          Bono Bono Philippines
          Rio Tuba Philippines
          Ba Ngoi Vietnam
          Batu Priuk Indonesia
          Genteng Indonesia
          Tandjung Blitung Indonesia
          Cam Ranh Vietnam
          Subi Island Indonesia
          Serasan Island Indonesia
          Punta Baja Harbor Philippines
          Vinh Con Son Vietnam
          Eran Philippines
          Quezon Philippines
          Sandakan MYSDK Malaysia
          Udang Natuna Indonesia
          Kakap Natuna Marine Terminal Malaysia
          Anoa Marine Terminal Malaysia
          Puerto Princesa PHPPS Philippines
          Terampa Indonesia
          Babuyan Philippines
          Tapis Marine Terminal A Malaysia
          Belida Marine Terminal Indonesia
          Binaluan Philippines
          El Nido Philippines
          Bacuit Philippines
          Dulang Marine Terminal Malaysia
          Santa Fe Philippines
          Carmen Philippines
          Sogod Bay Philippines
          Port Barrera Philippines
          Borbon Philippines
          Bogo Philippines
          Masbate Philippines
          Masbate PHMBT Philippines
          Donsol Philippines
          Palompon Philippines
          Isabel PHISL Philippines
          Villaba Philippines
          San Isidro Philippines
          Arevalo Philippines
          Bulan Philippines
          Magallanes Bay Philippines
          Merida Philippines
          Pilar Philippines
          Port Bello Philippines
          Calubian Philippines
          Legazpi PHLGP Philippines
          Leyte Philippines
          Ormoc Philippines
          Maasin Philippines
          Casiguran Philippines
          Baybay Philippines
          Sorsogon Philippines
          Coal Harbor Philippines
          Malitbog Philippines
          Sogod Philippines
          Liloan Philippines
          Calbayog Philippines
          Talalora Philippines
          Tanauan Philippines
          Lagome Philippines
          Tacloban PHTAC Philippines
          Catbalogan PHCTS Philippines
          Surigao PHSUG Philippines
          Virac Catanduanes Island Philippines
          Laoang Philippines
          Gen Macarthur Philippines
          Borongan PHBGV Philippines
          Guiuan Philippines
          Numancia Philippines
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.